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7 min read·2025-12-05

How Much You Need to Retire: The 4% Rule Explained

The practical rule used by investors worldwide to figure out how much capital you need to never work again.

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The 1998 Trinity Study analyzed what percentage of your portfolio you can withdraw annually in retirement without running out. The answer surprised many: about 4% per year, adjusted for inflation, for 30 years, in a 60/40 stocks/bonds portfolio.

The simple formula

Required capital = Desired annual spending × 25

Want $30,000/year in retirement? You need $750,000 invested.

Want $50,000/year? You need $1,250,000.

How to get there

If you're 35, have no savings, and want to retire at 65 with $30,000/year, you'll need to save about $760/month at a 6% real return. If you're 25, only $380.

Every decade you wait roughly doubles the required effort.

Uncomfortable truths

  • Social Security replaces an average of 40% of pre-retirement income — not enough on its own.
  • Index funds and tax-advantaged accounts (401k, IRA, Roth) are not optional — they're the system.
  • Inflation is the silent enemy. $30,000 today equals about $55,000 in 25 years at 2% inflation.
  • Actionable steps today

    1. Estimate annual spending in retirement (rule of thumb: 70-80% of current spending).

    2. Multiply by 25 to get the target capital.

    3. Use our retirement calculator to compute monthly savings required.

    4. Automate investing — what you don't see, you don't spend.

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